So You’re a Jets Fan: A Practical Guide to Quarterback Problems

Football season hasn’t started yet, and already Jets fans are feeling the effects.  I won’t restate the obvious here because you’ve probably already read the obvious on other, heavier trafficked websites.  Plus, I don’t like to get bogged down in the raw emotions of the situation.  And the Jets are in a terrible situation.

The question is, what do they do about it?  Can there possibly be a solution to the horrible situation the Jets have placed themselves in?  Because this is a terrible situation they are in.

Let’s talk gruesome, difficult facts.

Problem #1:  The de facto starting quarterback isn’t very good

Mark Sanchez has not been an effective starting quarterback.  In four seasons he has posted the following CAA numbers.

  • 2009: -29.403
  • 2010: -31.159
  • 2011: -20.908
  • 2012: -27.241

Needless to say, these are not the kind of numbers you want to see out of your starting quarterback.

Problem #2:  The Jets have difficult evaluating and developing quarterback talent.

In a previous post, I noted that the Jets are the 5th worst team in the league in developing quarterback accuracy.  Any quarterback that plays for the Jets can expect to have his completion percentage reduced by 3.29% compared to if he went to a team that is average in developing quarterback talent.  I fully expect Geno Smith to be another victim here, though to be fair, I’m not high on Geno Smith as a prospect as it is.  Once his rookie contract is up, I am predicting Geno Smith will have a quarterback rating somewhere around 71.09, assuming he gets a reasonable number of attempts in his career.

So the Jets have a bad starting quarterback and are not particularly good at figuring out who the good quarterbacks are.  So what do you do?  You let other people who have shown they can effectively evaluate and develop a quarterback do it for you.  If I’m John Idzik, my first calls are to Atlanta, Denver, and New Orleans in that order.

Atlanta

I see Atlanta as the best bet to pull in a good starting quarterback.  There is risk here because, except for the franchise guy, Atlanta’s quarterbacks all very young and inexperienced.  But the risk is calculated.  Dominique Davis is my target from Atlanta.  He’s neatly wrapped up the backup job for the Falcons with a good camp in his sophomore season.  Since he was drafted in 2012, there are fewer political problems by trying to start a rookie over Geno Smith.  You can say that he at least has a year of sitting on a professional bench under his belt.  Dealing Davis also solves a problem for the Falcons who currently have four quarterbacks on the roster.  If they were to deal away Davis, the Falcons would be left with two rookies as backups, but one of those rookies is Sean Renfree, my #3 QB from the 2013 draft class.  Finally, we can expect that Davis has some talent going for him.  I had him as the #6 quarterback in a ridiculously talented 2012 draft class.  He would get a trial by fire, but he does have some talent to make that work.

Denver

If Atlanta doesn’t want to play, the next call is to Denver.  Once again we’re targeting a backup quarterback in his sophomore season, Brock Osweiler.  The football blogs I read blew up during training camp talking about how well Osweiler was throwing the football.  Denver doesn’t have an extra quarterback to work with and Peyton Manning is getting a bit long in the tooth, but you never know.  Especially when Denver has Zac Dysert to develop behind Peyton Manning.

New Orleans

If Atlanta and Denver won’t play ball, I’m calling New Orleans.  New Orleans offers two potential targets at quarterback, a safe option and a “holy-hell-did-he-just-do-that” option.  The safe option is to target the Saint’s backup, Luke McCown and develop Geno Smith behind him.  You know what you’re going to get from Luke McCown.  He’ll run the offense and might put you into position to win a game or two.  At the end of the day, though, he’s not an everyday NFL starter.  He gives you the chance to ride out a mediocre season and keep the fans attitude at a level of moderate annoyance.

But that’s not what I would do if I was in John Idzik’s shoes.  With the latest Jets debacle and the whole country talking about what a horribly run team the Jets are, I’m going to go big or go home.  I’m going to accept that history has proven me inept at evaluating quarterbacks.  I’m going to let Sean Payton do the evaluating for me.  I want to make some noise. I want to get people into even more of a love-hate relationship with the New York Jets than they already are.  I want to make a move that will keep the Jets in the papers and keep everyone talking about them.  I want Ryan Griffin, the rookie quarterback out of Tulane and I’m going to start him over Geno Smith.  I think Ryan Griffin has a very bright future in this league.  He was on an absolutely terrible team at Tulane, but on his own was one of the bright spots.

So there’s where I would go if I were in the terrible shoes of the New York Jets general manager.  Good luck Jets fans.

1 Comment - Leave a comment
  1. quoted on Precious Blog says:

    When Youre A Devoted Jets Fan

    […] rback in his sophomore season, Brock Osweiler.  The football blogs I read blew […]

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